If you walk through a casino and observe the video poker machines, you will likely see dozens of players mindlessly slapping the "Draw" button as fast as they can.
Video poker is NOT a slot machine. A slot machine is a game of pure, unadulterated luck where you have absolutely zero control over the outcome.
In this article, we are going to break down the absolute perfect mathematical strategy for the most popular and foundational version of the game: Jacks or Better.
Step 1: Finding the "Full Pay" 9/6 Machine
Before you even touch a button or insert a dollar, your absolute first task is to read the payout table printed directly on the glass of the machine.
This means the machine pays exactly 9 coins for a Full House (per 1 coin bet) and 6 coins for a Flush.
However, casinos are greedy. They will frequently place "Short Pay" machines (like an 8/5 or a 7/5 machine) right next to the good ones.
If the casino does not offer 9/6 Jacks or Better, the correct strategy is to turn around and walk out the door.
Why You Must Always Play 5 Coins
Many casual players, trying to conserve their bankroll, will only bet 1 or 2 coins per hand.
If you bet 1 coin, a Royal Flush pays 250 coins. But if you bet the maximum 5 coins, the Royal Flush payout jumps massively to 4,000 coins (instead of the mathematically linear 1,250).
If you hit a Royal Flush while only betting 1 coin, you have essentially robbed yourself of thousands of dollars purely because you were trying to save 4 quarters.
You must always activate that massive 4,000-coin bonus, regardless of the denomination you are playing.
The Cheat Sheet: What to Hold and What to Fold
You must memorize this hierarchy or bring a printed strategy card with you to the casino (which is completely legal).
Perfect mathematical strategy dictates you MUST throw away the guaranteed winning Jack to draw for the Royal Flush, because the massive 4,000-coin payout makes the gamble mathematically correct over the long run.
Conversely, if you hold a High Pair and 4 cards to a regular Flush (e.g., J, J, 4, 7, 9 of Hearts), the math flips entirely.
Holding the Ace reduces the number of cards you draw from three to two, drastically reducing your chances of hitting Three of a Kind (which pays 15 coins).
The Order of Operations (From Highest EV to Lowest)
- Dealt Royal Flush, Straight Flush, Four of a Kind: Stop thinking. Hold all five cards and press draw to collect your massive payout. The Holy Grail Draw: The 4,000-coin payout is so massive that the math demands you chase it every single time. The Mid-Tier Winners: Three of a Kind is especially valuable because you get to draw two cards for a chance at Four of a Kind. The Big Draw: A very strong draw, but still mathematically weaker than a guaranteed Three of a Kind. The Workhorse: Two Pair pays 10 coins. It keeps your bankroll afloat while you wait for the massive hands. Survival: High pairs ensure your bankroll survives the brutal variance of the machine. Color Hunting: A solid, reliable draw that pays 30 coins. Dumping the Trash: You are hoping to hit "Trips." The math demands you draw three new cards.
- 4 Cards to an Outside Straight: Hold the four sequential cards (e.g., 5, 6, 7, 8). Do NOT hold an "Inside" Straight (e.g., 5, 6, 8, 9). The Complete Redraw: Do not hold a random 10 because it "feels lucky." Let the machine give you five brand new cards.
Why the Payouts Matter
The TargetThe Financial ReturnThe Statistical Reality The Holy GrailThe reason you must play 5 coins.An incredibly rare event that single-handedly pulls the RTP up to 99.54%. Straight Flush250 CoinsRoughly 1 in 9,000 hands. Four of a Kind125 CoinsRoughly 1 in 423 hands. The Full HouseThe critical metric of a good machine.This is why you always draw one card to Two Pair. Flush (The "6")30 Coins (6 x 5 coins)Roughly 1 in 91 hands. The Survival HandThe reason the game is called "Jacks or Better."Without this 5-coin refund, your bankroll would vanish in minutes.
You are essentially reducing the casino's massive, imposing fortress to a tiny 0.46% mathematical sliver.
Take your time, check your strategy card, and ensure every single decision you make is backed by Expected Value.